Houthi Attacks Raise Red Sea Geopolitical Risk Amid $3,800 FEU Rates
Houthi missile and drone attacks on Saudi infrastructure—including King Khalid International Airport (closed until October 17) and Aramco’s headquarters—have escalated regional tensions and raised Red Sea shipping risks ahead of 2027 contract negotiations. Asia-Europe spot rates remain above $3,000 per FEU—70% higher than October 2025—while Asia-Mediterranean rates jumped 7% to $3,800 per FEU last week. Trans-Pacific rates dipped 2% to $8,150 per FEU, signaling potential post-peak softening. The National Retail Federation projects November U.S. ocean arrivals down 11% MoM, though full-year 2026 imports are forecast only 1.4% above 2025.